Does Pick1 actually win?
The honest answer is on a public ledger that updates as games finish. Here's what it says right now.
Pick1's public ledger currently shows 62.3% wins across 674 graded picks (420 wins). Every single one is timestamped and viewable at pick1reviews.com/wins. No back-dated record, no cherry-picking — the data updates as new picks are graded.
Where can I see the wins?
Every graded pick lives at pick1reviews.com/wins. Filter by league. Each card links to the full AI reasoning, the confidence score it was published with, and the final score of the game.
Why publish losses too?
Because a track record with no losses is a track record with no truth. Tipsters survive on selection bias — they delete the misses. Pick1 publishes them. The win rate you see is the only win rate.
What's the win rate by league?
Latest league snapshot: TOP14 76.2% on 21 picks; NFL 58.8% on 68 picks; MLB 51.9% on 27 picks; WNBA 68.2% on 22 picks; T20I 61.5% on 65 picks; NHL 63.6% on 129 picks; UFC 66.7% on 66 picks; NBA 53.2% on 62 picks; EPL 59.1% on 22 picks; ATP 66.7% on 159 picks; NCAAF 42.9% on 7 picks; F1 33.3% on 3 picks; KHL 56.5% on 23 picks.
What's a 'good' win rate for sports prediction?
For binary moneyline picks against efficient lines, anything above ~52.4% beats the standard sportsbook hold. The more useful metric is closing-line value (CLV) — Pick1's internal target is +3% CLV, which is the academic gold standard for forecasting accuracy.
Could the numbers be faked?
The numbers come from the same Supabase Pick1 uses to power the app. Every pick row has a created_at timestamp set before the game. You can pull the public picks endpoint and verify any individual game's pick existed before kickoff via the Wayback Machine or social-share timestamps.
Every claim on this page links back to the public ledger and the live Pick1 app. Don't take our word for it — go look.