The numbers, live.

Name: Pick1 AI sports prediction public ledger
Creator: Pick1
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Straight from Pick1's public ledger. Updates as new picks are graded. Tier breakdown shows whether the model's confidence calibration is real.

Total picks

407

Wins

233

Losses

174

Overall win rate

57.2%

By league

League	Picks	Wins	Losses	Win rate	High conf	Med conf	Recent
MLB	94	44	50	46.8%	—	37.5%	—
WNBA	60	33	27	55.0%	88.9%	65.2%	—
WC	57	42	15	73.7%	100.0%	87.5%	—
ATP	47	29	18	61.7%	50.0%	58.3%	—
UFC	42	22	20	52.4%	100.0%	22.2%	—
KBO	28	19	9	67.9%	—	60.0%	—
IPL	26	14	12	53.8%	—	42.9%	—
UCL	22	17	5	77.3%	100.0%	85.7%	—
NBA	12	2	10	16.7%	—	0.0%	—
MLS	10	4	6	40.0%	—	100.0%	—
LIGAMX	8	6	2	75.0%	—	100.0%	—
NHL	1	1	0	100.0%	—	—	—

How to read these numbers

Win rate is wins / (wins + losses), pushes excluded. High conf = picks published with ≥80% AI confidence. Med conf = 65–79%. Recent = trailing 30 days. A well-calibrated model wins more often at higher confidence — if those columns are flat, the model is mis-priced.