The numbers, live.

Name: Pick1 AI sports prediction public ledger
Creator: Pick1
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Straight from Pick1's public ledger. Updates as new picks are graded. Tier breakdown shows whether the model's confidence calibration is real.

Total picks

674

Wins

420

Losses

254

Overall win rate

62.3%

By league

League	Picks	Wins	Losses	Win rate	High conf	Med conf	Recent
ATP	159	106	53	66.7%	72.7%	75.4%	—
NHL	129	82	47	63.6%	—	62.5%	—
NFL	68	40	28	58.8%	62.5%	72.7%	—
UFC	66	44	22	66.7%	100.0%	63.2%	—
T20I	65	40	25	61.5%	0.0%	71.0%	—
NBA	62	33	29	53.2%	100.0%	88.9%	—
MLB	27	14	13	51.9%	—	75.0%	—
KHL	23	13	10	56.5%	—	100.0%	—
WNBA	22	15	7	68.2%	—	66.7%	—
EPL	22	13	9	59.1%	100.0%	100.0%	—
TOP14	21	16	5	76.2%	—	100.0%	—
NCAAF	7	3	4	42.9%	66.7%	33.3%	—
F1	3	1	2	33.3%	—	—	—

How to read these numbers

Win rate is wins / (wins + losses), pushes excluded. High conf = picks published with ≥80% AI confidence. Med conf = 65–79%. Recent = trailing 30 days. A well-calibrated model wins more often at higher confidence — if those columns are flat, the model is mis-priced.