Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka unbeaten vs Noskova, 6-3 6-4 last time

Sabalenka has won every prior meeting with Noskova, most recently 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells semi-finals, and she has not lost at Flushing Meadows after taking the opening set since the 2023 semi-final. Noskova arrives on 11 consecutive Grand Slam wins as Wimbledon champion but has committed 26 double faults in this draw and needed three sets in each of her last two rounds. Sabalenka is 18-7 since March with no final since Miami, which is why this is 68 and not 75.