▲ WINNBA · CHA vs WAS·CHA @ 58%▲ WINLALIGA · Sevilla vs Osasuna·Sevilla @ 53%▲ WINATP · Dominic Stricker vs Casper Ruud·Casper Ruud @ 73%▼ LOSSNHL · EDM vs DET·EDM @ 56%▲ WINNBA · CLE vs MIN·CLE @ 64%▲ WINNBA · BOS vs CHI·BOS @ 62%▲ WINWNBA · Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream·Golden State Valkyries @ 55%▲ WINWNBA · Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream·Golden State Valkyries @ 57%▼ LOSSNBA · MIL vs IND·IND @ 60%▲ WINNBA · HOU vs ATL·HOU @ 60%▲ WINATP · Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien·Learner Tien @ 73%▲ WINNFL · Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys·Dallas Cowboys @ 68%▲ WINATP · Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone·Valentin Vacherot @ 60%▲ WINLIGUE1 · Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon·Paris Saint-Germain @ 68%▼ LOSSNBA · MIA vs DAL·MIA @ 76%▲ WINATP · Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili·Daniil Medvedev @ 65%▲ WINNFL · Tennessee Titans vs Cleveland Browns·Cleveland Browns @ 57%▼ LOSSNFL · Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers·San Francisco 49ers @ 64%▼ LOSST20I · Nigeria vs Uganda·Uganda @ 62%▼ LOSSTOP14 · La Rochelle vs Bordeaux Begles·La Rochelle @ 55%▲ WINNBA · CHA vs WAS·CHA @ 58%▲ WINLALIGA · Sevilla vs Osasuna·Sevilla @ 53%▲ WINATP · Dominic Stricker vs Casper Ruud·Casper Ruud @ 73%▼ LOSSNHL · EDM vs DET·EDM @ 56%▲ WINNBA · CLE vs MIN·CLE @ 64%▲ WINNBA · BOS vs CHI·BOS @ 62%▲ WINWNBA · Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream·Golden State Valkyries @ 55%▲ WINWNBA · Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream·Golden State Valkyries @ 57%▼ LOSSNBA · MIL vs IND·IND @ 60%▲ WINNBA · HOU vs ATL·HOU @ 60%▲ WINATP · Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien·Learner Tien @ 73%▲ WINNFL · Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys·Dallas Cowboys @ 68%▲ WINATP · Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone·Valentin Vacherot @ 60%▲ WINLIGUE1 · Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon·Paris Saint-Germain @ 68%▼ LOSSNBA · MIA vs DAL·MIA @ 76%▲ WINATP · Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili·Daniil Medvedev @ 65%▲ WINNFL · Tennessee Titans vs Cleveland Browns·Cleveland Browns @ 57%▼ LOSSNFL · Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers·San Francisco 49ers @ 64%▼ LOSST20I · Nigeria vs Uganda·Uganda @ 62%▼ LOSSTOP14 · La Rochelle vs Bordeaux Begles·La Rochelle @ 55%
▲ WinF1*September 6, 2026
Field @ Italian Grand Prix

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Confidence
27%
Result
Win
Key factor

Six wins in 11, but Monza engine penalty looms

AI reasoning

Antonelli arrives at Monza with 219 points, a 50-point lead over Hamilton and six wins from 11 rounds, and the W17's power unit has been the reference on straight-line efficiency all year — Mercedes took the first 10 poles of 2026 before Norris broke the run in Hungary. The reason this is priced at 27% rather than 40% is the engine allocation: both Antonelli and Russell have used their fourth ICE, and Toto Wolff has said Monza 'looks like a good place to take an engine penalty', which would drop the Italian at least 10 places at his home race. Ferrari's ADUO 2 turbo upgrade debuts here specifically to close the top-end gap, so Leclerc and Hamilton are live at 18% and 14%.

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