Manchester City

Isak, Gakpo, Ekitike all out; City 5-0-0

City arrive 5-0-0 with 15 points and are priced +140 at FanDuel (about 42% in a three-way market where the draw sits at +260), so this is a thin edge rather than a strong one. I sit above the market number because Liverpool confirmed on 9 October that Alexander Isak (thigh) and Cody Gakpo (ankle) are out alongside long-term absentee Hugo Ekitike, leaving Andoni Iraola without three senior forwards, while City lose only the suspended Phil Foden. Liverpool have drawn three of five and scored 1.52 projected goals here, which is why the pick is one-star.