▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%
▲ WinATP***September 5, 2026
Elise Mertens @ Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka

Confidence
77%
Result
Win
Final
1–2
Key factor

Osaka 6-3 H2H, two straight-set wins in 2026

AI reasoning

bet365 has Osaka at -334 and the serve is why: 11 aces in each of her first two matches, over 75% of first-serve points won and only three aces conceded all tournament. Osaka leads the head-to-head 6-3 with two straight-set wins in 2026, at Bad Homburg and Toronto, in which Mertens generated four break points in total. Mertens is playing well, with a Wimbledon quarter-final and a Monterrey final last week, but she has no obvious route through the Osaka serve.

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