Ben Shelton

Shelton 90% holds, 71% break points saved this season

Shelton is 36-13 on the season with nine wins in his last ten and holds serve 90% of the time, against a Tsitsipas who has been forced to come from a set down in all three rounds. The Greek's only prior win in the rivalry came in two tiebreaks in Cincinnati 2023, when Shelton was a different player. Both men finished late-night matches, so the 3h22 Shapovalov marathon is priced into the number rather than a reason to move off Shelton.