NYY

Rockies 5.46 team ERA in the Bronx

Tomoyuki Sugano's 5.19 ERA and Colorado's 5.46 staff ERA travel badly to Yankee Stadium, where Will Warren (9-6, 4.16, 133 K) takes the ball. New York is 81-62 and 65-45 when favored; the Rockies are 54-88 and allow a .287 opponent average, the worst in the majors. The price is short, so this is about probability rather than value.