▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%
▲ WinATP*September 7, 2026
Elena Rybakina @ Naomi Osaka

Elena Rybakina

Confidence
55%
Result
Win
Final
20
Key factor

Osaka's Achilles issue after 2h38 win over Mertens

AI reasoning

Rybakina won the only meeting 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in the Toronto quarter-finals last month and has come through three rounds here without dropping a set. Osaka has been managing an Achilles problem since the grass season and needed 2 hours 38 minutes, plus three missed match points, to beat Elise Mertens. The market is close to even money both ways; the Achilles and the workload gap are the specific reasons this sits at 59 rather than 52.

More from the Pick1 ledger

Want tomorrow's pick the moment it's published? Open the app — free, daily, no card.