Esteban Ribovics

Ribovics' volume striking — 122 significant strikes on Brener and a win over Barboza — versus Green's recent grappling output (3 takedowns on Zellhuber, submission of Stephens).

Ribovics (16-3-0) is 2-1 in his last three, most recently beating Edson Barboza with 63 significant strikes, and he has shown high output elsewhere, landing 122 significant strikes against Elves Brener. His only recent loss came to Mateusz Gamrot in a stand-up fight where he managed just 4 significant strikes. Green (36-17-1) arrives on a three-win run, including a knockdown of Terrance McKinney, a submission win over Jeremy Stephens, and three takedowns plus a knockdown and 86 significant strikes against Daniel Zellhuber, so this is a live matchup rather than a mismatch. Ribovics' striking volume is the edge, though Green's recent grappling success (3 TD vs Zellhuber, 1 TD and a sub vs Stephens) is a real path to victory given Ribovics has landed zero takedowns in his last three.