Alexander Volkanovski

Volkanovski's striking volume — 158 and 98 significant strikes in his two wins over Diego Lopes — against an unbeaten wrestler who has scored no knockdowns in his last three listed wins

Volkanovski has beaten Diego Lopes twice, posting 158 and 98 significant strikes while also landing takedowns in both (1 TD in April 2025, 2 TD plus a submission attempt in February 2026), so he has shown he can score on the feet and in the grappling exchanges. Evloev is 20-0 and his wrestling pressure is real — 9 takedowns against Lerone Murphy, 5 against Arnold Allen, 4 against Aljamain Sterling, with over six minutes of control versus Sterling — but he has not recorded a knockdown in any of those fights and his striking volume has been modest (8 sig strikes vs Sterling, 51 vs Allen). This is close to a pick'em; Volkanovski's far higher striking output is the slim tiebreaker.