▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%
▲ WinATP**September 4, 2026
Arthur Rinderknech @ Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

Confidence
74%
Result
Win
Final
03
Key factor

Rinderknech 1-15 vs top 10 on hard courts

AI reasoning

Rinderknech is 1-15 lifetime against top-10 opponents on hard courts, and he needed 7-6(4), 6-2, 7-5 to see off Jaume Munar. Medvedev arrived in New York having lost four of five but has conceded serve sparingly here, holding throughout a 6-1, 6-3, 7-5 win over Sebastian Gorzny with 14 aces and three double faults. The Shanghai 2025 loss to Rinderknech is why this is -300 rather than -500.

More from the Pick1 ledger

Want tomorrow's pick the moment it's published? Open the app — free, daily, no card.

ATP WIN: Daniil Medvedev (74% confidence) · Pick1 Reviews