Montel Jackson

Jackson knocked Barcelos down in their fight; Simon lost to the same opponent without scoring a knockdown.

Both men are coming off losses to Raoni Barcelos, but Jackson scored a knockdown in his fight with him while Simon landed 67 significant strikes over the fight without dropping him. Jackson is 15-4 and his win over Daniel Marcos came with 2 takedowns, 3:37 of control and a submission, showing he can win in either phase. Simon is 22-7-1 but has dropped two straight, including to Adrian Yanez despite landing 2 takedowns. Note both fighters are on losing streaks, so this is a narrow edge based on the common-opponent comparison.