▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%
▲ WinATP*September 8, 2026
Alex Michelsen @ Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

Confidence
60%
Result
Win
Final
2–3
Key factor

Tiafoe 2-0 H2H, 28-11 career at Flushing Meadows

AI reasoning

Tiafoe has taken both prior meetings in straight sets and just beat No. 7 seed Daniil Medvedev 7-6(1), 6-4, 7-6(6) for his sixth major quarter-final. Michelsen has not lost a set in 12, but this is his first Slam quarter-final and DraftKings' -156 line (61% implied) reflects the experience gap rather than any form edge. Thin edge, and the price is close to fair.

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