Chelsea

Fulham lost 6 of last 8 home games to Chelsea

Chelsea's window — Morgan Rogers for a British-record £117m from Aston Villa, plus Maxence Lacroix, Marco Palestra and Pep Chevarria — meets a Fulham side that lost Raul Jimenez and Harry Wilson and hands Alvaro Arbeloa his first competitive match with Joachim Andersen suspended. Both clubs finished last season on 52 points, so the separation is spend and depth rather than baseline quality; Fulham were winless in four of six friendlies including a 2-0 loss to Norwich. bet365's 17/20 is roughly 50% after vig and the draw is 27/10, so the lean is modest, with Wesley Fofana suspended pushing Reece James into Xabi Alonso's back three.