▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%▲ WINMLB · ARI vs TEX·ARI @ 55%▲ WINNCAAF · Miami vs Florida A&M·Miami @ 78%▼ LOSSNFL · Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers·Los Angeles Rams @ 65%▼ LOSST20I · Bangladesh Women vs India Women·India Women @ 71%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINATP · Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula·Aryna Sabalenka @ 62%▲ WINATP · Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp·Alexander Zverev @ 70%▲ WINNFL · Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots·Seattle Seahawks @ 64%▼ LOSSUFC · Quentin Pasley vs Arlind Berisha·Quentin Pasley @ 66%▼ LOSST20I · Sierra Leone vs Uganda·Uganda @ 70%▲ WINMLB · ATH vs TOR·TOR @ 56%▼ LOSSMLB · PHI vs HOU·PHI @ 58%▲ WINUFC · Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák·Martin Kozák @ 86%▼ LOSSUFC · Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior·Isaac Moreno @ 70%▲ WINATP · Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx·Karen Khachanov @ 63%▲ WINUFC · Colton Loud vs Christian Natividad·Christian Natividad @ 80%▲ WINUFC · Kwon Won Il vs Apollo Gomes·Apollo Gomes @ 72%▲ WINMLB · BAL vs CLE·CLE @ 55%▲ WINATP · Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva·Coco Gauff @ 61%▲ WINATP · Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina·Elena Rybakina @ 73%
▲ WinATP*September 4, 2026
Daniel Merida @ Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen

Confidence
63%
Result
Win
Final
0–3
Key factor

Michelsen swept Nakashima; Merida broke him five times in Montreal

AI reasoning

Michelsen is the -185 favourite after a 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 dismissal of 16th seed Brandon Nakashima, but this is priced too short: Merida broke him five times when winning their Montreal meeting a month ago, leads the tour with a 31.7% break rate over 12 months, and knocked out Andrey Rublev in four sets. I am shading below the market for that reason. Michelsen's serve and the New York crowd keep him on the right side, barely.

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ATP WIN: Alex Michelsen (63% confidence) · Pick1 Reviews