Every pick that hit.

Lucindo's two-way edge: 72 sig strikes plus 3 takedowns and 5:37 control in her most recent win

Steele has shown both a finishing threat (KD vs Blair, submission attempt vs Mar Fan) and recorded striking volume (59 sig strikes vs Rongzhu, 48 vs Blair)

Santos can win on the mat (6 TD, 6:06 control vs Lee) while Oki's recent success has come purely on the feet

Vagaev's control-heavy last outing (4 TD, 7:46 control) tops Malkoun's recent control totals in a likely grappling-decided fight

Pico's wrestling (6 TD, 3:25 control, 100 sig strikes vs Pitbull) against an opponent with 0 takedowns in his last two recorded fights

Dawson's submission activity on the ground — 4 submission attempts and 7:08 control in his last win

Yakhyaev recorded a knockdown or submission in each of his three listed wins while landing fewer than 10 significant strikes per fight

Magomedov's finishing threat — a knockdown and a submission attempt on only 10 significant strikes in his most recent win

Volkov's output at range: 88 significant strikes in his most recent win

Yan won the most recent meeting while out-wrestling Merab 5 takedowns to 2

Volkanovski's striking volume — 158 and 98 significant strikes in his two wins over Diego Lopes — against an unbeaten wrestler who has scored no knockdowns in his last three listed wins

Faglier's 6-0 record with three straight logged wins, marginally ahead of Mahjoub's 5-0

Cerminara's 18-6 record and high-volume striking output against elite opposition

Nelson landed just 1 significant strike in each of his two recent losses; Pérez brings a 15-2 record

Galanti's three-fight win streak and recorded knockdown versus LeBlanc's 4-significant-strike loss in his last logged bout

Nallo scored a knockdown in each of his last two logged fights; Landwehr has lost three straight

Malott's three-fight winning run with knockdowns and a submission versus Buckley's two straight losses

Da Lapa's 117-to-69 striking edge and knockdown while Cabral's two takedowns yielded just 0:31 of control.

Francischinelli scored a knockdown while landing 16 significant strikes to Rentz's 3 in their prior meeting.

Sundell is unbeaten at 2-0-0 while Pereira's 3-2-0 record includes two losses — though Sundell has no fight log on file, so confidence is limited.

Walker's takedown volume and control time against a veteran who landed almost nothing in his last two losses

Fili can supplement his striking with takedowns (4 vs Delgado, 3 vs Rodriguez), a dimension absent from Kamaka's recent logged fights

Pereira owns the only knockdown on file in a fight that figures to stay standing

Godínez's takedown volume (5 TD, 7:30 control vs Polastri) and high striking output (107 sig strikes vs Andrade)

Prado has stayed more active and threatening in defeat while Bonfim's output has fallen off sharply

Allen's submission-and-control game, shown in 11:39 of control plus a submission against Reinier de Ridder

LaGrange has two verified wins in 2026 and a documented three-fight sample, while Ariano has no history on file.

Soares has 13 documented pro fights with three straight wins, while Miyaguchi's last fight on file was a loss.

Conceição's documented 11-3-0 record and March 2026 win over Yamato Fujita are the only verified form in this bout.

Both are unbeaten at 4-0-0, but Everett packed his three documented wins into roughly the last ten months while Martin's were spread over a full year.

McGhee's recorded striking volume (102 and 79 sig strikes in his last two wins) versus a Romero file showing two losses in three and no knockdowns, submissions or control time.

Smith is 12-0 with documented takedown, control and finishing production across all three logged wins, while Whitehead's file shows no comparable output and includes a recent loss.

Wint is unbeaten with a documented takedown-and-submission finish, while Armand's file shows no takedowns, control time or finishes.

Ribovics' volume striking — 122 significant strikes on Brener and a win over Barboza — versus Green's recent grappling output (3 takedowns on Zellhuber, submission of Stephens).

Hernandez scored a knockdown in each of his last two wins; dos Anjos has lost all three fights on file.

Soldić's 21-4 record and most recent win versus Williams going 1-2 in his last three logged fights.

Silva has beaten Namajunas, Grasso and Andrade in her three logged fights — a clear step up in opposition quality.

Pinas scored a knockdown in each of his last three wins on low volume; Pulyaev has dropped two straight stand-up fights.

Rodriguez has four knockdowns across his last two wins, the biggest finishing threat in a tight matchup.

Vettori is winless across his three logged bouts while Naurdiev still lands takedowns and control time.

Walker's knockdown power, shown against Zhang Mingyang, in a fight where he only needs one clean connection.

McGee is 1-2 across his last three logged fights with zero knockdowns scored, while Nolan's file contains only a single 2019 bout.

Talbott's 134-strike, three-takedown, one-knockdown win over Cejudo against a Figueiredo who landed single-digit significant strikes in each of his last two losses.

Diop's seven-fight resume and three wins in a nine-month window against a much less active opponent

Dumas lost his last three fights on file while landing 5 or fewer significant strikes in each.

Jauregui's 94-strike output versus a Demopoulos side that landed zero takedowns in three straight losses.

Perez landed 6 takedowns with 7:36 of control last time out while Dumont has zero takedowns across her last three fights.

Jackson knocked Barcelos down in their fight; Simon lost to the same opponent without scoring a knockdown.

Black brings a 15-4 record and a three-fight winning run against an 8-0 opponent with far fewer pro miles.

Vieira's 4 takedowns and 6:24 of control last time out is the heaviest grappling output either man has shown.

Rosas Jr.'s takedown volume and control time — 16 takedowns and 10:05 of control vs Rob Font, with at least 7:32 of control in each of his last three wins.

Guaylupo's 11-0-0 mark and more recent 2026-05-27 win give him the marginally deeper unbeaten resume.

Degli's last three on file are all wins, while Moran has a 2025-08-17 loss to Jacob Silva in that span.

Dasuyev's longer unbeaten record (9-0-0 vs 6-0-0) and more recent win (2026-06-06)

Haig recorded zero significant strikes in his 2025 stand-up loss, while Növényi Jr. is 10-1-0 with three straight wins on file.

Gandra has scored a knockdown in each of his last three wins on very low strike volume

Brito's proven takedown-and-control game (8 TD, 7:59 control vs Thomson) versus a Chikadze on a three-fight losing skid with declining striking output

Shahbazyan's striking output (90 sig strikes vs Allen, knockdowns in both wins) versus Ferreira's two-fight skid with just 2 and 19 sig strikes

Tuivasa is 0-3 in his last three on file with zero knockdowns, while Despaigne won his last outing

Tsarukyan's control time (8:41 vs Oliveira, 6:02 vs Hooker) against a Ruffy who logged just 5 sig strikes in his last loss